Wirid Birastri, Tri Wahyu Hadi, Nining Sari Ningsih, Faiz Rohman Fajary
A positive trend in the mass term of global atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), designated as MΩ, has been reported in previous studies but mostly analyzed from a single reanalysis dataset. In this paper, we examine the statistical significance of this trend over the period of 1950 to 2020 using four reanalysis datasets, i.e., ERA5, ERA-20C, JRA55, and NCEP/NCAR. We confirm that all of the datasets produce long-term positive trends despite some discrepancies. Moreover, all the datasets are in agreement on a positive trend over the last decade, especially over the equatorial region, suggesting an increase in equatorial air mass over the past five decades. We use a Lagrangian trajectory model to simulate changes in the interhemispheric air mass transport, whose results indicate that a mass accumulation in the equatorial region has occurred since the 1970s due mainly to transports from the Southern Hemisphere (SH). We also computed the change in the water vapor component of MΩ (ΔMΩw), and found that global ΔMΩw contributes around 25 to 50% of the changes in global MΩ (ΔMΩ), with the largest contribution originating from the equatorial region. Although both MΩ and MΩw exhibit long-term positive trends, their statistical correlation varies across the interdecadal timescale. Particularly, a decrease in MΩw is found to be inconsistent with an increase in MΩ from the mid-1980s to the 2000s. By estimating dry air surface pressure from the difference between total surface pressure, ps, and water vapor surface pressure, psw, we identify that a persistent increase in dry atmosphere mass over the equatorial region might have been responsible for maintaining the positive trend of global MΩ over the last five decades, while the contribution of MΩw is also increasing over the last decade. Thus, the large positive trend in MΩ over the last decade is likely a combined effect of the increase in dry atmosphere mass that occurred in previous decades and the current moistening of the equatorial atmosphere. These findings offer new insight into how long-term changes in atmospheric mass distribution—particularly over the equatorial region—may serve as key drivers of global MΩ variability, with potential implications for large-scale circulation and Earth’s angular momentum balance. (Figure presented.) © The Author(s) 2026.
Doctoral Program in Earth Sciences, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Bandung Institute of Technology, Jl Ganesa No.10, West Java, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia; Atmospheric Science Research Group, Faculty of Science, Institut Teknologi Sumatera, Jl Terusan Ryacudu, Lampung, South Lampung Regency, 35365, Indonesia; Atmospheric Science Research Group, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Bandung Institute of Technology, Jl Ganesa No.10, West Java, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia; Applied and Environmental Oceanography Research Group, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Bandung Institute of Technology, Jl Ganesa No.10, West Java, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia