Predicting burn area of forest and land fire 1997-2005 due to anthropogenic factors using CMIP5 data; [Prediksi luas kebakaran hutan dan lahan pada tahun 1997-2005 akibat faktor antropogenik menggunakan data CMIP5]

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Lesi Mareta, Arnida Lailatul Latifah, Rahmat Hidayat, Rini Hidayati

2021 Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan Vol. 11 Issue 2 Article Cited by 0 SDG 15SDG 17 Quartile

Abstract

Forest and land fires are an annual local and national disaster that occurs in Indonesia. Two factors influence forest and land fires: natural forcing and/or anthropogenic forcing (human activity). Human activity releases large amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2), carbon monoxide (CO), methane (CH4), oxidant rates, nitrogen dioxide (NOx), and particulates which act as sources of greenhouse warming that have been monitored by satellites in recent years. This study will examine the burn area of forest and land fires in recent decades due to anthropogenic factors in Kalimantan using two types of data, namely data without and with anthropogenic components. Analysis by utilizing output data from the CMIP5. This study uses a statistical approach to the technique of Random Forests (RF) to evaluate the contribution of climate and anthropogenic factors to the extent of forest and land fires in the Kalimantan region. General conditions of forest and land fires are based on observational data obtained from GFED data. The two highest areas that occurred in Kalimantan during 1997 to 2005 occurred in 1997 and 2002. According to the three models in 1997 and 2002, anthropogenic factors had a more dominant influence on the extent of forest and land fires in Kalimantan. In 1997 and 2002, the area of forest and land fires affected by anthropogenic factors was positive, and anthropogenic factors contributed to increasing the forest and land fires extent. © 2021, Pusat Penelitian Lingkungan Hidup - Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Institut Pertanian Bogor (PPLH-LPPM IPB). All rights reserved.

Affiliations

Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Sumatera Institute of Technology, Lampung, South Lampung, 35365, Indonesia; Laboratorium of High-Performance Computing, Research Center for Informatics, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, West Java, Bogor, 16916, Indonesia; Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Bogor Agricultural University, Kampus IPB Darmaga, Bogor, 16680, Indonesia

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